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Turkey is among the world’s top producers of agricultural products, textiles, vehicles, ships, construction materials and appliances. They are: (1) Egypt’s fast recovery from the political turmoil that followed the revolution of 2011, thanks to the Egyptian Armed Forces, which enjoys a state of autonomy, that enabled the military institution to preserve the economic and political well-being of the state, during the post-revolution political transitions. The book was published during a period when Turkey’s foreign policy under former Foreign Minister Ahmad Davutoglu was being shaped based on the so-called “zero-problem” foreign policy which aimed to ease tensions in neighboring countries starting from the signing of the Armenian-Turkish protocols and ending with consolidating “friendly” relations with Arab countries. Turkey’s economic alliances with Qatar or Iran cannot balance the economic power of these regional coalitions. On the main Turkish channel "TRT1", the presenter told which territories should become part of Turkey by 2050. UK could be down to 10th place by 2050, France out of the top 10 and Italy out of the top 20 as they are overtaken by faster growing emerging economies like Mexico, Turkey and Vietnam respectively . The image predicts that Turkey’s future regional influence will eventually extent over Crimea … the Turks have done it before. Recent academic publications argued that Turkey’s successful military intervention on the side of Azerbaijan, in the war over Nagorno-Karabakh region, last year, may enhance Turkey’s opportunities to project economic influence in Central Asia. Currently, the Turkish Defense Ministry operates military bases in the Middle East, Caucasus, Africa, and Asia. The author wrote that Russia must continue cleaning up pro-Turkish organizations in Crimea, the Krasnodar territory and other regions of the Russian Federation. Bis 2050 wird die Türkei ihren Einflussbereich erheblich erweitern, in den ein Teil des Territoriums Russlands fallen wird. Turkey will frighten the Poles, the Indians, the Israelis, and above all the United States.”. Your email address will not be published. However, it will be an empire of influence; not occupation, over countries such as: Egypt, Libya, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates (UAE), Yemen, Iraq, Syria, Greece, Cyprus, and Azerbaijan. That is despite Erdogan’s declared ideological animosity to Israel and his repetitive vows to “liberate Jerusalem from the hands of the Jews.” According to the book, the proposed expansion of Turkish influence should rely on three parallel factors. Er befasst sich auch mit möglichen Veränderungen in Technik und Kultur innerhalb dieses Zeitraums. Its founder George … By 2050, we estimated that the E7 economies could be larger than the G7 economies by between 25% and 75% depending on the measure used. Əvvəllər parçalanmış Türkiyə xəritəsi ilk gündəmə gələn “Stratfor”un qurucusu Corc Fridman bu dəfə başqa bir iddia ilə diqqət çəkib. This map was originally created, in 2009, by George Freidman, the founder of Stratfor, an American corporate intelligence group. “Erdogan does not promise to refuse to interfere in the internal affairs of the Russian Federation…Russia should remain alert and not allow Turkey to take over regions under Moscow’s influence. (March 11, 2021 / BESA Center) A nationalist Turkish television station with close ties to President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan has dug up a 12-year-old map that projects Turkey’s sphere of influence in 2050 as stretching from southeastern Europe on the northern coast of the Mediterranean and Libya on its southern shore across North Africa, the Gulf and the Levant into the Caucasus and Central Asia. advancing liberal democracy and countering violent extremism. Indonesia and Turkey. Commenting on the map showing Turkey expanding its influence deep within Russian territories, Krasov warned, “If they want to test the strength of the Russian spirit and our weapons, let them try.” Russian Senator Vladimir Zhabarov perceived this act as a provocation designed to test Russia’s reaction. Stratfor has 11 chilling predictions for what the world will look like a decade from now. Also, Arab Gulf countries, Saudi Arabia and UAE, helped Egypt in its war on political Islamist groups, all over MENA region. We now have that cleared up, and we are added faint country outlines to show that these countries still exist! Interestingly, the Russians reacted harshly to the circulation of the map in the Turkish media. During the past decade, the Arab Gulf countries, Saudi Arabia and UAE, which fall under the claimed area of Turkey’s influence in Stratfor’s map, developed their military powers to unprecedented levels. During this era, many researchers criticized Turkey’s foreign policy and categorized it as “neo-Ottoman.”, It is worth mentioning that when this map was first published, Crimea was not subjected to Russian annexation; part of Nagorno Karabakh and its surrounding areas were not captured by Azerbaijan; and Turkey had not occupied parts of Northern Syria and Iraq; nor had it acquired military bases in Libya and Qatar and extended its influence in Lebanon, Ukraine and Georgia. What we (as Russians) should not do is allow (Turkey) a free ride and let the loyalty of Russian regions be ‘switched’ to Ankara,” asserted Mirzayan. PPIA graduate, Poet and Weekly correspondent Lillian Avedian debuts Journey to Tatev, AYF cousins join humanitarian relief efforts in Artsakh, Azerbaijan unveils fragments of exploded Iskander missiles in Shushi, NAASR receives Mass Humanities grant for programming on Derounian archive, ONEArmenia surveying Diasporans’ travel habits, is an intelligence-based “research center” often described as the “shadow CIA” whose advisory is to sell intelligence. Commenting on the map showing Turkey expanding its influence deep within Russian territories, Krasov warned, “If they want to test the strength of the Russian spirit and our weapons, let them try.” Russian Senator. etki alan haritasıdır boşa gaza gelmeyin. First Deputy Chairman of the State Duma Defense Committee Andrei Krasov stated that the Turkish authorities are striving to restore the Ottoman Empire. The third factor is the natural weakening, over time, of neighboring states, which were expected to go through political turmoil eventually leading to political divisions or, in severe cases, civil wars and Turkish military adventures in these countries. Commenting on the map, Mirzayan argued that Erdogan’s Pan-Turkic and Pan-Islamist ideologies are threatening Russia’s interests. This was the case of Turkey’s military intervention in Syria, Iraq, and Libya, and Sudan. Just like Russians are rightly offended by some Turks expressing positive feelings about Stratfor’s speculative map predicting that their country will exert influence over Crimea and southern Russia by 2050, so too were Turks rightly offended by some Russians discussing Kurdish scenarios half … Gündeme bomba gibi düştü! A decade-old speculative map first published by Stratfor founder George Friedman in his 2010 book about “The Next 100 Years: A Forecast For The 21 st Century” is provoking distrust between the Russian and Turkish societies after it recently went viral on social media. According to Stratfor’s forecast, the proposed expansion of Turkish influence, over the aforementioned regions, should rely on two parallel factors. 2015-06-16T13:59:00Z The letter F. An envelope. The company predicts that by 2050 Turkey will expand its influence over the Balkans, North Africa, … The map belongs to the U.S research center Stratfor and portrays a hypothetical image of the Turkish sphere of influence for 2050. Farm. Expectations vs Reality: Stratfor’s Map of Turkey’s Sphere of Influence 2050. Stratfor has 11 chilling predictions for what the world will look like a decade from now. Stratfor’un hangi yayınında bu görseli … Meanwhile, Turkey’s model of an Islamic, democratic, secular state, lost its glamor in the eyes of the people of the Middle East, not only because of Erdogan’s unconditional support to political Islamists, but also because of his messing with the Turkish constitution to seize all political powers in his hands, which negatively affected the status of democracy and freedoms in Turkey, turning it into an almost authoritarian state. Regionally, across the Mediterranean Turkey was left alone in economic incentives against Greece, France and Egypt. Daha önce parçalanmış Türkiye haritasını da ilk yayınlayan düşünce kuruluşu Stratfor'un kurucusu George Friedman'ın "Gelecek 100 Yıl" kitabında yer alan, Türkiye için 2050 yılında öngördüğü etki alanlarını gösteren harita, yabancılar tarafından sosyal medyada paylaşılıyor. UAE military is currently fighting against the Turkish military in Libya, Syria, and even in the eastern Mediterranean on the side of Cyprus and Greece. First Deputy Chairman of the State Duma Defense Committee, stated that the Turkish authorities are striving to restore the Ottoman Empire. This country is Egypt. 4 talking about this. UK could be down to 10th place by 2050, France out of the top 10 and Italy out of the top 20 as they are overtaken by faster growing emerging economies like Mexico, Turkey and Vietnam respectively Gelecekte; Türkiye'de ve Dünya'da neler olacağını, ihtimallerin gerçekleşmesi halinde Türkiye'nin konumu ne olacak. Armin Rosen. Stratfor Threat Lens helps you identify, anticipate, measure and mitigate risks that emerging threats pose to your organizations people, assets and interests around the world. Its founder George Friedman published a book in 2009 titled “The Next 100 Years: A Forecast for the 21st Century,” which is based on predictions of how the geo-political map of the world will look in 2050. The Next 100 Years (deutscher Titel: Die nächsten 100 Jahre) ist eine geopolitische Studie von George Friedman aus dem Jahre 2009. stratfor gibi çok ciddi ve yaklaşık 10 yıldır takip ettiğim bir düşünce kuruluşuna yakıştıramadığım rapordur. On the other hand, the economic growth of the countries, which fall under the claimed Turkish influence in Stratfor’s forecast map, is doing better compared to Turkey. Armenia and India’s Vision of “North-South Corridor”: A Strategy or a “Pipe Dream”? Thus, Turkey’s “neo-Ottoman” aspirations quarreled with Arab reactionary and pro-Iranian Shia forces. What we (as Russians) should not do is allow (Turkey) a free ride and let the loyalty of Russian regions be ‘switched’ to Ankara,” asserted Mirzayan. Jahrhunderts. Turkey's growing influence in the Middle East and the Mediterranean to Central Asia has become a source of concern for the West. According to a public survey, conducted by the Liberal Democracy Institute, in 2017, more than 80% of Egyptians said that they consider the Muslim Brotherhood a terrorist group, and refused the proposal of state reconciliation with the group, under any conditions. That was particularly true after the eruption of Arab Spring revolutions, in 2010-2011. UAE, for example, has been described by renowned military analysts as “Little Sparta” for the highly advanced technology imported to its military, in the past ten years. Now, many Turkish nationalists and government circles believe that such maps are “promising” given the rise of Turkish power in the region. Meanwhile in the Middle East, his rivals including Iran, Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates (UAE) tried to contain the Turkish influence by waging alliances and engaging in proxy wars in Syria and Iraq. Apparently, showing this old map on national TV was meant to serve the ongoing “neo-Ottoman” and “Pan-Turkic” aspirations of the ruling party in Turkey. Başında ünlü stratejist ve siyaset bilimci George Friedman bulunuyor. On the economic supremacy issue, Friedman expected that by 2020, Turkey would have been among world’s top ten countries with the strongest economy. Yayınlanan harita, Türkiye’nin Orta Doğu’dan Akdeniz’e, oradan da Orta Asya’ya uzanan bir coğrafyada etkinliğini artırması, bölge ülkelerinden daha ziyade Batılı güçleri rahatsız etti. His thesis topic was on China’s geopolitical and energy security interests in Iran and the Persian Gulf. Meanwhile, in Syria and Libya, as his model clashed with the society or the ruling party, he tried to gain an advantage from the state disintegration and civil wars by sending his military. Ironically, Freidman’s map kept Israel, which exists right in the heart of the affected regions, immune to the claimed expansion of the Turkish influence. Regional analyst & researcher. çok doğru analizleri ve tespitleri oldu. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY: A nationalist Turkish television station with close ties to President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan has dug up a 12-year-old map that projects Turkey’s sphere of influence in 2050 as stretching from southeastern Europe on the northern coast of the Mediterranean and Libya on its southern shore across North Africa, the Gulf, and the Levant into the Caucasus and Central Asia. However, this requires for Turkey to enter into a brutal competition with Russia and China, which Turkey’s struggling economy is not ready to handle at the moment. He also shared the positions of President Erdoğan’s plane in the air during the hours of the coup attempt. T T Dalia Ziada داليا زيادة: Expectations vs Reality: Stratfor’s Map of Turkey’s Sphere of Influence 2050 Jahrhunderts in die Bedeutungslosigkeit abrutscht. Last summer, the Turkish Lira fell to its lowest exchange rate against the U.S. dollar, before slowly recovering at the beginning of 2021. Price Range $$ Opens Wednesday. Don t be so sure David. The first factor is Turkey’s soft power diplomacy characterized by culture and religion aimed to exercise influence over these states. uzun süre abonesiydim. Kanal 7 Dış Haberler Müdürü Taha Dağlı’nın hazırlayıp sunduğu “Dünyanın Gündemi” yer kürede yaşanmış bütün olayları mercek altına alıyor. Such regional coalitions are pushing Turkey into forced economic isolation, sooner or later. But emerging economies need to enhance their institutions and their infrastructure significantly if they are to realise their long-term growth potential. The US could be down to third place in the global GDP rankings while the EU27’s share of world GDP could fall below 10% by 2050. In his speculations, Friedman drew a scenario wherein Egypt should go through a political turmoil, which allows Turkey to deploy its military troops to Egyptian territories, under the guise of bringing stability to the region. The emails show Stratfor's web of informers, pay-off structure, payment laundering techniques and psychological methods. Meanwhile, Turkey’s “economic model” lost its credibility in the eyes of Middle Easterners. It indicates the ability to send an email. Στα Wikileaks, δημοσιεύθηκε e-mail του υπευθύνου δημοσίων σχέσεων του STRATFOR, Brian Genchur , προς τον Meredith Friedman με τίτλο “Χάρτης Τουρκίας 2050” (Turkey 2050 map) με ημερομηνία αποστολής 24 Οκτωβρίου 2008. Stratfor: Până în anul 2050, Turcia își va extinde sfera de influență, inclusiv asupra unei părți a teritoriului Rusiei Ionel Copcea / 14 feb 2021 / 15:41 Armata turcă, sursă foto: Ministerul Apărării de la Ankara - Facebook. “It seems to me that such information is deliberately thrown in to see the reaction. The company predicts that by 2050 Turkey will expand its influence over the Balkans, North Africa, the Middle … Moreover, Giorkhelidze uses the map to portray Turkey as an unfriendly state. Speculative Turkish Regional Influence By 2050. However, all these anticipations failed, where in Egypt President Sisi crushed the Islamist rule; in the Mediterranean, the Israelis, Greeks, French and Egyptians are forming a military axis to contain Turkey; India is searching for partners to balance Turkey; while Russia and China would not hesitate to give more space for Turkey in, reacted harshly to the circulation of the map in the Turkish media. He pursued his BA at Haigazian University in Political Science in 2013. Thus, Turkey’s “neo-Ottoman” aspirations quarreled with Arab reactionary and pro-Iranian Shia forces. One can but advise the Turkish side to abandon dreams of Russian territory, otherwise, they could injure themselves due to such insatiable appetites.”, On February 14, 2021, Russian expert Gevorg Mirzayan, a research fellow of the RAS US and Canadian Studies Institute, published an article titled “How Russia Can Block Erdoğan’s Imperial Ambitions” in the Russian media outlet. By 2050, we estimated that the E7 economies could be larger than the G7 economies by between 25% and 75% depending on the measure used. Page Transparency See More. Based on the most recent available data by the World Bank, Turkey is ranked the 19th largest economy in the world, in 2019. Speculative Turkish Regional Influence By 2050. Turkey will frighten the Poles, the Indians, the Israelis and above all the United States. The author wrote that Russia must continue cleaning up pro-Turkish organizations in Crimea, the Krasnodar territory and other regions of the Russian Federation. The segment on TGRT Haber was strongly criticized in Russia. Turkey, which is currently ranked in 17th place, is set to become the 11th largest economy by 2050, with a predicted economy of just over $5 trillion. dini, islami, milli, ahlaki, terbiyevi Maral Najarian’s Harrowing Tale of Captivity in Azerbaijan, An Open Letter to Members of the International Association of Genocide Scholars. ‘But if I sting you, you will drown – and I will drown with you. It indicates the ability to send an email. For example, one of the reasons why many Egyptians elected a Muslim Brotherhood government, in 2012, was the misleading propaganda that introduced the Muslim Brotherhood’s Freedom and Justice Party (FJP), in Egypt, as an extension to Erdogan’s Justice and Development Party (AKP), in Turkey. The dying frog asked: ‘But why? Friedman prognostiziert die wichtigsten geopolitischen Ereignisse und Entwicklungen des 21. Türkiye'nin Orta Doğu ve Akdeniz'den Orta Asya'ya uzanan bir coğrafyada etkinliğini artırması, bölge ülkelerinden çok Batılı güçleri tedirgin etti. ‘I’m not crazy. As soon as I start swimming, you will sting me,’ the frog replied. On February 14, 2021, Russian expert Gevorg Mirzayan, a research fellow of the RAS US and Canadian Studies Institute, published an article titled “How Russia Can Block Erdoğan’s Imperial Ambitions” in the Russian media outlet Vzglyad, later translated by the Middle East Media Research Institute. “It seems to me that such information is deliberately thrown in to see the reaction. From this point onward, south of the Kurdish regions, the land on the Iraqi side is increasingly flat, part of the Tigris-Euphrates basin. On the economic supremacy issue, Friedman expected that by 2020 Turkey would have been among the world’s top 10 countries with the strongest economy. You will die with me.’ ‘Because I am a scorpion, and this is my nature,’ the sinking scorpion told her.” That is to say in politics, this kind of “nature” exists in the form of ideologies that dictate the behavior of certain political elites. However, it will be an empire of influence and not an actual occupation. 30 yıl sonrasının değil, 500 yıl öncesinin haritası bu. So what has changed in the past 12 years, and is this scenario realistic given the post-“Arab Spring” regional geopolitical changes? Here we are in 2021, and Turkey is ranked as the 19th largest economy in the world.

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